The NHL’s rejection of the NHLPA’s CBA proposal came as no surprise, or at least, it shouldn’t for those keeping watch on the negotiations.

Despite the gloomy headlines, however,  there are points in the PA’s proposal (as noted in the previous Soapbox) which indicate movement – slowly, reluctantly – toward an agreement.

The two sides now agree “only” $182 million separates them, a narrower gap than when negotiations began back in July.

A 50-50 division of hockey-related revenues remains as inevitable as it was last summer. The players know they cannot back away from that now.

Though the PA leadership will keep pushing for a gradual move toward that division of HRR, and continue to seek protection for its constituents from any post-lockout losses, it appears they’ll eventually accept the league’s plan for immediate implementation.

The players will also have to accept the league’s “make whole” $211 million proposal. It’s nowhere close to the additional $182 million the PA wants, but they’d best move quickly to avail themselves of the league’s offer before it shrinks along with the schedule for this season.

For the NHL to achieve those goals, league commissioner Gary Bettman and his team of negotiators will have to be flexible regarding player contract rights. In their excruciatingly slow way, it seems  they’re turning that way.

As ESPN.com’s Pierre LeBrun reported late Wednesday, there were several issues regarding player contracts which the league agreed with the PA, including entry level contracts remaining at 3 years, elimination of re-entry waivers, and a payroll range determined by a percentage over and below the mid-point, rather than by a flat rate.

Just like the previous NHL lockout, the players are making most of the concessions. It’s unfair they should be locked out and squeezed for more revenue and contract rights from a league whose owners make mockeries of every CBA.

But that’s the way the league rolls. Bettman and his negotiators hammer out an owner-friendly labor agreement, then watch helplessly as a number of owners (usually wealthy ones in traditional hockey markets) exploit loopholes and overspend, tilting the agreement in the players favor, and bringing about yet another lockout.

Every NHL CBA have been essentially a set of rules to try and save the owners from themselves. Every one failed. Given that history, and the owners unwillingness to learn from it, the next CBA could ultimately favor the players.

 

It’s could be different this time, as salaries remain tied to league revenue, which aren’t expected to grow at the same rate (seven percent annually) as under the previous agreement.

That’s as may be, but then again, few predicted or expected league revenue to rise as swiftly as it did over the period of the last CBA, particularly over the past four years, as the American economy struggled through a recession.

Over the course of the next CBA,  a Canadian dollar at par with the American greenback, another franchise landing in Canada via expansion or relocation,  once-strong markets like Dallas, Colorado and St. Louis could regain their footing, and successfully tapping into new revenue sources could ensure steady revenue growth for the league, in turn ensuring a steadily-increasing salary cap.

That assumes, of course, the NHL doesn’t suffer a significant loss of fan support as a result of this lockout. It’s possible fans might not return in the same numbers as they did following the last lockout, but then again, there were similar concerns during the NHL’s previous labor dispute, yet nothing came of them.

The NHL brain trust believes it survived and thrived following the last lockout because hockey fans are, according to Bettman, the greatest in the world. It’s very likely those great fans will still return, especially if a new CBA is implemented to salvage the remainder of this season.

Sure, some fans have voice their displeasure via social media, threatening never to return. Actions, however, always speak louder than words.

 

Decertification of the union has been suggested as a means to end this lockout, but I doubt the players, for all their frustration and anger on Wednesday, have reached that stage yet.

As Michael Grange of Sportsnet.ca points out, such an extreme move would take time, perhaps too much time to successfully use it as a means of saving this season.

“To formally decertify 30 percent of NHLPA members – about 210 players – would have to sign a petition in support of a decertification vote.

That petition would have to be provided to the NLRB. After 45 days the players could vote on decertifying and if a simple majority were in favour the union would be disbanded. Only then would NHL players be able to begin to take legal action against the league.”

Decertification was recently presented as one option  to the players by the PA leadership, but they voted to continue negotiations. By decertifying the union, the players would be removing the NHLPA as a bargaining partner with the league, hoping to force the NHL to end the lockout or risk an antitrust lawsuit.

That, however, isn’t a certainty, as a court could rule against the players. Several pundits have also noted decertification would have an adverse effect upon players medical benefits and pensions.

While decertification is among the few leverage moves the PA has at this point, it remains an extreme measure; one which, if the league digs in its heels, could almost guarantee another lost season.

Given how close the two sides are getting to a deal (despite the public posturing), it’s doubtful the union votes to decertify now.

Once this lockout finally ends, however, decertification could be discussed more seriously on the players’ side, especially if a majority believe the union is no longer effective in protecting their rights.

 

In the wake of the NHL’s rejection of the NHLPA’s recent proposal, Washington Capitals defenseman Roman Hamrlik lashed out at the leadership of NHLPA director Donald Fehr.

Hamrlik is entitled to his opinion, and because the NHLPA not imposing a “gag order” on the players, is free to publicly voice his complaints of Fehr.

He’s gone through three lockouts during his long career, is coming to the end of his NHL playing days, risks losing the final year of his contract to this lockout, and likely his last shot to play for a Stanley Cup.

Still, Hamrlik did pretty good for himself over the course of his career, earning over $56 million as an NHL player. Can’t help but wonder if he’d be as vocal if he were ten years younger and his prime earning years were still ahead of him.

It’ll be interesting, though, to see if Hamrlik’s complaint is merely a voice in the wilderness, or reflective of a number of other NHL players.